West Ham vs Wolves – Premier League stats and best bets – Sunday 27th February

Although the best bets in this write up are backed up by statistics they are not certainties and still could lose. I will use the statistics to point out likely events in these games, and the best bets are the types of bets that I believe stand a good chance of coming in. The best bets will vary in price as this is a case of taking what the stats give us, rather than trying to force bets for the sake of it. I will be as transparent as possible in each write up about why I feel each bet is best bet material. All bets are rated on a 1-3 points system of how strong we believe the chance of it happening is, with 3 being the strongest. This is just an indication of my confidence and should not be taken as advice on what amount to place on a bet, you should only bet what you can afford to lose.

 

West Ham vs Wolves

West Ham

Scored – 45
Conceded – 34
Both teams scored – 17/26
Home games both teams scored – 10/13
Over 2.5 goals – 15/26
Home games over 2.5 goals – 8/13
Corners – 5.50
Corners per home game -5.77
Yellow cards – 1.38
Yellow cards per home game – 1.38

Wolves

Scored – 24
Conceded – 20
Both teams scored – 8/25
Away games both teams scored – 4/13
Over 2.5 goals – 7/25
Away games over 2.5 goals – 3/12
Corners – 4.44
Corners per Away game – 4.54
Yellow cards – 1.80
Yellow cards per Away game – 1.77

West Ham come here having drawn their last 2 league games, 2-2 with Leicester and then 1-1 with Newcastle last time out. They sit in 6th spot, 2 points ahead of their opponents today, but Wolves do have a game in hand. This is a huge opportunity for Bruno Lage’s side here, a win would move them 1 point ahead of West Ham and 4 points off 4th placed Man United, but they would have a game in hand on both those sides. Wolves won 1-0 when the sides met earlier this season, and Wolves have actually won 5 of the last 7 head to head matches, all without West Ham scoring. West Ham did the double over Wolves last season beating them 4-0 and 3-2, which adds to how difficult this game is to weigh up. Its difficult as both have had very different styles of play this season. Wolves have been very compact and defensive minded,whilst West Ham have been playing in entertaining games and looking to outscore their opposition. With that being said,Wolves have seen 4 of their last 6 league games end with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals, so perhaps as the season progresses they are growing slightly more adventurous with their style of play. West Ham have been in the European hunt all season, but it’s always felt like Wolves were just a bit too far adrift, but a win here changes all that and will firmly put Wolves in the picture. As the home side I feel it may be worth chancing that West Ham can drag Wolves into their type of game and we should see some goals today. With the atmosphere and being the away side I feel it could be difficult for Wolves to look to play too negatively and defensively,so hopefully we get an entertaining game here. I don’t see it being a full on end to end shoot out, but I feel there is a good chance both teams score and I feel West Ham can pinch it by a 2-1 scoreline. Corners looks a solid betting angle, the stats suggest West Ham could take the lead in the corner department but this should be quite an even game for long periods with both sides having opportunities, so I expect Wolves to pitch in with at least 3 or 4 corners as well. Cards is a similar story to corners with Wolves just ahead of West Ham in the averages but the type of game this will be suits card bets. This is a huge game for both sides and if one of them is ahead then I expect all the time wasting tricks to come out, plus both sides have players who are prone to a rash challenge, and you add in that both these sides are good on the counter, so we could see cards for breaking them up, so it looks like it may be a game to take the card stats with a pinch of salt and expect a little bit more than what the stats promise. The referee for this game is Anthony Taylor, who is averaging 3.94 yellow cards per game in the Premier League this season and over his entire career he averages 3.39 yellows per game. This should be a good game to watch with a good atmosphere, and I expect West Ham to run out 2-1 winners where home advantage helps them over the line.

2-1 West Ham correct score – 9/1 Bet365 (1 point)

Over 1.5 goals, 7+ match corners and 20+ match booking points – 4/5 Skybet – (3 points)

4+ corners each team and 20+ booking points each team – 4/1 Skybet (1 point)

50+ match booking points – 6/5 Skybet (2 points)

Author: Eva Gray