Southampton vs Norwich – stats and best bets – Friday 25th February

Although the best bets in this write up are backed up by statistics they are not certainties and still could lose. I will use the statistics to point out likely events in these games, and the best bets are the types of bets that I believe stand a good chance of coming in. The best bets will vary in price as this is a case of taking what the stats give us, rather than trying to force bets for the sake of it. I will be as transparent as possible in each write up about why I feel each bet is best bet material. All bets are rated on a 1-3 points system of how strong we believe the chance of it happening is, with 3 being the strongest. This is just an indication of my confidence and should not be taken as advice on what amount to place on a bet, you should only bet what you can afford to lose.

 

Southampton

Scored – 32

Conceded – 37

Both teams scored – 16/25

Home games both teams scored – 7/12

over 2.5 goals – 13/25

Home games over 2.5 goals – 3/12

Corners – 5.68

Corners per home game – 5.25

Yellow cards – 1.92

Yellow cards per home game – 1.83

 

Norwich

Scored – 15

Conceded – 53

Both teams scored – 9/25

Away games both teams scored – 3/12

over 2.5 goals – 15/25

Away games over 2.5 goals – 7/12

Corners – 4.48

Corners per Away game – 3.33

Yellow cards – 1.68

Yellow cards per Away game – 1.67

The Saints come here unbeaten in their last 5 games in all competitions, having beaten Everton and Spurs in the league, as well as drawing with both Manchester based clubs and progressing in the Champions league as well. They sit in 10th spot and will have their eyes on a top half finish. Norwich are in bottom and have had a tough couple of games as they lost 4-0 to Man City and 3-1 to Liverpool, bit they did draw with Palace and beat Watford and Everton before that, so they do have some reasons to be hopeful. Norwich actually won the reverse fixture in November 2-1 and will be desperate to do the double here. In their last 9 league games Southampton have won 4, drawn 4 and lost just 1 and 8 of those games have had both teams score. They are difficult side to weigh up as I feel they don’t really have a tried and tested way of playing yet, and sometimes you don’t know what to expect. I see them getting a lot of the ball tonight and having a lot of opportunities to create and get forward. 3 of the last 5 Norwich league games have seen both teams score and give Saints record there as well it may be worth chancing that both sides will score here, and if they do I still expect Southampton to come out on top. I feel like Southampton corners could be a good bet tonight, they are one of the dark horses when it comes to corners as you don’t usually associate them with a massive corner count, but they have taken 28 corners in their last 5 league games and average over 5.5 corners per game this season. I would expect them to better that number tonight as they have a lot of opportunities to get forward against a poor defensive side in Norwich. Cards is a difficult market as it really depends on how the game plays out, if Norwich can stay in the game and keep it close then we may see bookings, but if it becomes comfortable for Southampton and they get into a couple of goal lead, them that’s not a situation where I would want to be waiting on cards. I see both teams scoring and Southampton running out 3-1 winners in quite comfortable fashion.

Southampton to win 3-1 – 12/1 bet365 (1 point)

8+ Southampton corners – 6/4 Skyber (2 points)

Southampton to score 3+ goals – 7/4 Skybet (2 points)

Author: Eva Gray