Southampton vs Liverpool – stats and best bets Tuesday 17th May

Although the best bets in this write up are backed up by statistics they are not certainties and still could lose. I will use the statistics to point out likely events in these games, and the best bets are the types of bets that I believe stand a good chance of coming in. The best bets will vary in price as this is a case of taking what the stats give us, rather than trying to force bets for the sake of it. I will be as transparent as possible in each write up about why I feel each bet is best bet material. All bets are rated on a 1-3 points system of how strong we believe the chance of it happening is, with 3 being the strongest. This is just an indication of my confidence and should not be taken as advice on what amount to place on a bet, you should only bet what you can afford to lose.

 

Southampton

Scored – 41
Conceded – 61
Both teams scored – 21/36
Home games both teams scored – 10/18
Over 2.5 goals – 20/36
Home games over 2.5 goals – 7/18
Corners –  6.36
Corners per home game – 6.28
Yellow cards – 1.72
Yellow cards per home game – 1.72

Liverpool

Scored – 89
Conceded – 24
Both teams scored – 14/36
Away games both teams scored – 8/18
Over 2.5 goals – 22/36
Away games over 2.5 goals – 12/18
Corners – 7.44
Corners per Away game – 6.83
Yellow cards – 1.36
Yellow cards per Away game – 1.50

Newly crowned FA Cup champions Liverpool come here looking to keep the pressure on Man City as they chase the quadruple. City did drop points against West Ham, but they still control their own fate, as Liverpool will need to win here to close the gap to 1 point, then Cify play Villa on the final day with Liverpool against Wolves. Jurgen Klopps men do have the champions League final to look forward to as well. The Saints are in 15th right now and are going to be finishing in the lower mid table reason by the looks of things. With rumours about players leaving such as James Ward-Prowse, this is big period for Southampton I feel. Should they sell players and not find the right replacements then they could easily find themselves in the relegation mix next season. Liverpool have dominated this fixture in recent years, winning 8 of the last 9 head to head meetings, all of which have come in the league. There will no doubt be some fatigue in Liverpool legs, but they have enough squad depth to rotate their squad and still get a result here. I think Southampton will have their moments, and it wouldn’t surprise me if they scored, but ultimately whilst Liverpool players have played a lot of football this season, they still have some much to play for and it’s hard to see them taking their eye off the ball at this stage. I see them running out routine winners as they send the title race into the final day.

Liverpool to win 3-1 – 10/1 Bet365 (1 point)

2+ corners each team in each half – 7/2 Skybet (1 point)

Author: Eva Gray