Premier league stats and best bets – Wednesday 9th February

Man City vs Brentford

 

Man City

Scored – 55

Conceded – 14

Both teams scored – 8/23

Home games both teams scored – 2/11

over 2.5 goals – 12/23

Home games over 2.5 goals – 6/11

Corners –  8.61

Corners per home game – 9

Yellow cards – 1.30

Yellow cards per home game – 1.18

 

Brentford

Scored – 26

Conceded – 38

Both teams scored – 13/23

Away games both teams scored – 6/11

over 2.5 goals –  13/23

Away games over 2.5 goals – 6/11

Corners – 3.91

Corners per Away game – 3.27

Yellow cards – 1.83

Yellow cards per Away game – 2

City come here top of the table though they did drop points in their last League game as they drew away at Southampton. Brentford have so far this season managed to stay clear of being dragged into the relegation fight, but that is something that I feel could happen in this second half of the season. Brentford have lost their last 4 Premier League games and I feel that the cracks are starting to show and they could be in for a rough second half of the season. At the time of writing Brentford sit in 14th spot, and are only 10 points clear of the bottom club Burnley., but every side below them in the table has at least one game in hand on Brentford, though most have 2 and some have 3,. I see this being a straight forward assignment for Pep Guardiola’s men and see City running out convincing winners. The angles to focus on with bets are City goals and corners, as I expect them to dominate this game.

10+ Manchester City corners – 15/8 Skybet (1 point)

Manchester City to score 5+ goals – 7/2 Skybet (1 point)

Norwich vs Crystal Palace

 

Norwich

Scored – 13

Conceded – 45

Both teams scored – 7/22

Home games both teams scored – 5/11

over 2.5 goals – 13/22

Home games over 2.5 goals – 7/11

Corners – 4.55

Corners per home game – 5.82

Yellow cards – 1.82

Yellow cards per home game – 1.91

 

Crystal Palace

Scored – 31

Conceded – 34

Both teams scored –  12/22

Away games both teams scored – 4/10

over 2.5 goals – 14/22

Away games over 2.5 goals – 6/10

Corners – 4.32

Corners per Away game – 3.20

Yellow cards – 1.91

Yellow cards per Away game – 1.80

Norwich have now won their last 3 games in all competitions as they have beaten Everton and Watford in the league, and then beat Wolves 1-0 in The FA Cup. At the time of writing they are out of the relegation spaces in the league and new manager Dean Smith has given the club genuine hope that they can be a Premier League club next season. Palace have not won a league game since they beat Norwich 3-0 on the 28th December, but they did win their FA Cup tie with Hartlepool at the weekend. Palace are 8 points ahead of Norwich in the table and will be hoping they can push for a top half finish in the 2nd half of the season. Since they met at the back end of December their form has gone in opposite directions with Norwich winning 4 of the 5 games they have played since then, and Palace having only won their FA Cup game against league 2 Hartlepool. The both teams to score stats look pretty good on this game today, so there is reason to be hopeful that this could be a good game to watch. I do see both sides scoring and feel the home support could help Norwich to get a positive result from this game, though whether it is a draw or win is a tough call. It should be an even game with both sides having opportunities to get forward. One of the biggest improvements from a statistical viewpoint with Norwich is how much their corner average has gone up under Dean Smith, especially at home. Palace have never been a massive corner side and I feel there is a decent chance here that Norwich take the most corners. The stats suggest cards are another area that could be profitable for bets, and with Norwich desperate to keep their good form going in front of their home fans, we should get a good atmosphere.

Norwich to take the most corners – 5/4 Skybet (2 points)

Both teams to score, 1+ corner each team in each half and 20+ booking points each team – 6/1 Skybet (1 point)

Spurs vs Southampton

 

Spurs

Scored – 26

Conceded – 24

Both teams scored – 7/20

Home games both teams scored – 3/10

over 2.5 goals – 11/20

Home games over 2.5 goals – 7/10

Corners – 5.65

Corners per home game – 6.30

Yellow cards – 1.80

Yellow cards per home game –  1.60

 

Southampton

Scored – 26

Conceded – 34

Both teams scored –  14/22

Away games both teams scored – 7/11

over 2.5 goals – 12/22

Away games over 2.5 goals – 9/11

Corners – 5.73

Corners per Away game –  6.09

Yellow cards – 2.05

Yellow cards per Away game – 2.09

Spurs continue to be an enigma as they have been beaten quite comfortably by Chelsea in 3 meetings against them in the last 5 weeks, then they stage what is one of the greatest Premier League comebacks against Leicester where they scored 2 goals in 20 seconds to get the win. They put in another good performance in their last game against Brighton in The FA Cup where they ran out 3-1 winners, and Antonio Conte will be hoping his side can bring that form into this game. Southampton got a draw against Man City in their last league game and sit firmly in mid table. The last time these sides met in the back end of December it finished 1-1 as Southampton had a man sent off in the first half and Spurs struggled to break them down and find the winning goal. The stats suggest this could be a good game for bets. Corners and cards both stand out as very good bets, and we should get quite an evenly matched game here. In the past i have criticized Southampton for being almost a nothing team, they never look like troubling the top of the table but are safe from relegation and just almost float through seasons having some good days and some bad days. However, there definitely has been some improvement in Southampton games in recent times as I feel they are starting to develop an identity of who they are as a football team. James Ward-Prowse is arguably the best free kick taker in the world right now, and his dead ball skills make Southampton a constant threat from set pieces, and against Man City they showed they can create chances as despite only having 25% of possession they managed 7 shots with 3 on target. Spurs are in the middle of yet another rebuild under a new manager, but Antonio Conte is starting to get his stamp on this side, though will surely be happier when he gets to the summer transfer window and he can look to recruit players who he wants to help him move Spurs forward. A win here for either side would be huge as they move into the second half of their league campaign. I do see both teams scoring here, though the result is tough to call and I feel it could end up a score draw as yet again this season Spurs struggle to breakdown a stubborn Southampton side.

Over 1.5 goals, 3+ corners each team and 30+ match booking points – 5/4 Skybet (2 points)

2+ corners each team in each half – 10/3 Skybet (1 point)

 

Aston Villa vs Leeds

 

Aston Villa

Scored – 28

Conceded – 32

Both teams scored – 12/21

Home games both teams scored – 7/10

over 2.5 goals – 13/21

Home games over 2.5 goals – 7/10

Corners – 4.86

Corners per home game – 3.70

Yellow cards – 2.14

Yellow cards per home game – 1.80

 

Leeds

Scored – 24

Conceded – 40

Both teams scored – 14/21

Away games both teams scored – 7/10

over 2.5 goals –  12/21

Away games over 2.5 goals – 6/10

Corners –  4.57

Corners per Away game – 3..10

Yellow cards – 2.71

Yellow cards per Away game – 2.90

This promises to be an extremely entertaining game to watch. Leeds are coming off a loss to Newcastle in their last league game, though they did win their 2 league games before that and at the time of writing they sit in 15th spot, just 4 points behind Aston Villa, who given how they strengthened in the January transfer window, will be hoping to make a push to finish in the top half of the table. Villa beat Everton in their last league game, though have been a bit up and down themselves lately as they drew with Man United, but lost to Brentford and Chelsea. This is the first meeting between the sides this season, with them scheduled to play each other again on XYZ. The two meetings last season saw Leeds win away at Villa 3-0, and Villa win away at Leeds 1-0. These sides played out some cracking games in the Championship a few years back, with their last championship encounter finishing with 6 yellow and 1 red card, and their two Premier League meetings last season had 9 yellow cards between them, and I feel we could be in for another feisty encounter here. The stats suggest an above average chance that both teams will score. Both sides have seen their corner average drop this season compared to last season, but on their day they can both still rack up decent corner numbers with Leeds games tending to become very open and stretched, and Villa have over flowing wing backs who will look to join attacks and get forward whenever possible, so we should see a few corners in this game. I have already pointed out cards and I feel we will see quite a few of them in what turns out to be a very entertaining game to watch. I see Villa just doing enough to steal all 3 points as they win 2-1.

2-1 Villa correct score – 8/1 Bet365 (1 point)

Both teams to score, 1+ corner each team in each half and 20+ booking points each team – 9/2 Skybet (1 point)

70+ match booking points – 9/2 Skybet (1 point)

Both teams to score in both halves, 2+ corners each team in each half and 20+ booking points each team – 80/1 Skybet (1/2 point)

Author: Eva Gray