Newcastle vs Wolves – stats and best bets – Friday 8th April

Although the best bets in this write up are backed up by statistics they are not certainties and still could lose. I will use the statistics to point out likely events in these games, and the best bets are the types of bets that I believe stand a good chance of coming in. The best bets will vary in price as this is a case of taking what the stats give us, rather than trying to force bets for the sake of it. I will be as transparent as possible in each write up about why I feel each bet is best bet material. All bets are rated on a 1-3 points system of how strong we believe the chance of it happening is, with 3 being the strongest. This is just an indication of my confidence and should not be taken as advice on what amount to place on a bet, you should only bet what you can afford to lose.

Newcastle

Scored – 33

Conceded – 54

Both teams scored – 19/30

Home games both teams scored – 10/14

over 2.5 goals – 14/30

Home games over 2.5 goals – 8/14

Corners – 4.50

Corners per home game – 4.21

Yellow cards – 2.30

Yellow cards per home game – 2.07

 

Wolves

Scored – 33

Conceded – 27

Both teams scored – 10/31

Away games both teams scored – 4/15

over 2.5 goals – 10/31

Away games over 2.5 goals – 3/15

Corners – 4.39

Corners per Away game – 4.40

Yellow cards – 1.77

Yellow cards per Away game – 1.60

After going on a run of 3 straight wins in the league, Eddie Howe’s Newcastle side have now lost their last 3 league games, to Chelsea, Spurs and more surprisingly Everton. They are 7 points above Burnely who occupy the last relegation space right now, and whilst they have given themselves some breathing room, they know that they still have a little bit of work left to do. Wolves have won 3 of their last 4 league games and beat Aston Villa 2-1 in their last outing. They sit in 8th spot, 5 points off of 4th and 5th position and they obviously have not given up on qualifying for one of those European spots just yet. Wolves won 2-1 when the sides met earlier this season, but the 4 league meetings between these sides before that last game had all finished in 1-1 draws, and I see this being a similarly close game. I feel Newcastle would probably take a point right now given their situation in the relegation fight, but if Wolves are serious about challenging for top 5 or 6 then this is the type of game they really need to win, and on paper it’s on you feel they should be winning, but St James Park is not an easy place to go. I see this being a very close game with not much to seperate the sides. Neither of these sides are exactly big corner sides in the averages but at home Newcastle are sure to have times where they build pressure, and Wolves are the better footballing side so will also have opportunities where they can get forward, especially on the counter. The close nature I expect this game to have and the fact both sides still have something to play for should lead to a few bookings as well. I see Wolves sitting in and being compact for long periods as they are a very difficult side to break down, but they will cause Newcastle problems with the speed of their counter attacks. History says these two sides love a 1-1 draw when they play each other so I feel we could see another hard fought 1-1 draw here.

1-1 correct score – 11/2 bet365 (1 point)

3+ corners each team and 10+ booking points each team – 4/5 Skybet (3 points)

50+ match booking points – 5/4 Skybet (2 points)

Author: Eva Gray