Man United vs Brighton – Tuesday 15th February

MAN UTD

Scored – 38

Conceded – 32

BTTS – 15/24

Home games with BTTS – 6/12

Over 2.5 Goals – 11/24

Home games with Over 2.5 Goals – 5/12

Average Corners per game – 5.33

Average Corners per Home game – 5

Average Yellow cards per game – 2.13

Average Yellow cards per Home game – 1.92

BRIGHTON

Scored – 25

Conceded – 23

BTTS – 13/23

Away games with BTTS – 8/12

Over 2.5 Goals – 5/23

Away games with Over 2.5 Goals – 3/12

Average Corners per game – 5.39

Average Corners per away game – 4.92

Average Yellow cards per game – 1.91

Average Yellow cards per away game – 2.08

Man United have won the last 6 head to head meetings between the sides, and they scored exactly 3 goals in 4 of those games. Ralph Rangnick’s side have drawn their last 2 Premier League games both 1-1, as they were held by Burnley and then Southampton. Brighton beat Watford 2-0 in their last league game to snap a run of 3 straight 1-1 draws, which came against Leciester, Palace and Chelsea. In recent times this is a fixture that has produced goals, with all of the last 7 head to head meetings having over 2.5 goals. Brighton are 7 points behind United with a game in hand, so they know victory here would give them the chance to close to just 1 point behind United. Brighton currently sit in 9th spot, and for me are the last remaining team who have a realistic chance of European Football this year. They sit 8 points behind West Ham in 4th, but they have 2 games in hand on West Ham, and in truth, games in hand do somewhat cloud the top 8 at the moment with a lot of teams having played a different amount of games. Brighton would love a win here as after this they have a run of 3 pretty winnable league games, as they are at home to Burnley and Aston Villa, then away at Newcastle, which are all games that they will fancy their chances in playing teams below them in the league table. United have a big few games coming up as they visit Leeds on Sunday, before the first leg of their Champions League last 16 tie against Atletico Madrid away in Spain, so both sides will be desperate for a confidence boosting win here. 5 of the last 7 H2H games between these sides have seen both teams score, and I feel we could get that again here, Brighton have scored in all of their last 6 League games and 4 of those were away from home, so they have proven they can find the back of the met on the road. Whilst United are in a slump right now it’s still very difficult to back against them scoring given the players they have at their disposal. Corners look like a good bet with both sides hovering around the 5 corners a game mark, and cards also look a promising angle, particularly as United will be desperate to get a win infront of their home fans after a frustrating couple of games. United have scored exactly 3 goals in 4 of the last 5 head to head meetings, so I feel we have to be at least looking at United to score 3 goals and win the game here, and although I would favour United to win 3-1, at the odds I feel the better value is in backing them to win 3-0, 3-1 or 3-2. United’s defensive problems are still there for the world to see, and I can see Brighton causing them some real problems tonight, but Brighton themselves need to be more clinical and I feel United may get away with it at times tonight. I expect United to get a win in an entertaining game where their star quality is ultimately what gets them through a potentially tricky home game.

Man United to win 3-0, 3-1 or 3-2 – 5/1 Skybet (1 point)

Over 1.5 goals, over 8.5 corners and over 25 booking points – 11/8 Skybet (2 points)

2+ corners each team in each half – 3/1 Skybet (1 point)

Author: Eva Gray