Man United vs Brentford – stats and best bets – Monday 2nd May

Although the best bets in this write up are backed up by statistics they are not certainties and still could lose. I will use the statistics to point out likely events in these games, and the best bets are the types of bets that I believe stand a good chance of coming in. The best bets will vary in price as this is a case of taking what the stats give us, rather than trying to force bets for the sake of it. I will be as transparent as possible in each write up about why I feel each bet is best bet material. All bets are rated on a 1-3 points system of how strong we believe the chance of it happening is, with 3 being the strongest. This is just an indication of my confidence and should not be taken as advice on what amount to place on a bet, you should only bet what you can afford to lose.

 

Man United

Scored – 54

Conceded – 52

Both teams scored – 22/35

Home games both teams scored – 10/18

over 2.5 goals – 17/35

Home games over 2.5 goals – 7/18

Corners – 5.20

Corners per home game – 5.11

Yellow cards – 2

Yellow cards per home game – 1.67

 

Brentford

Scored – 41

Conceded – 49

Both teams scored – 18/34

Away games both teams scored – 11/17

over 2.5 goals – 18/34

Away games over 2.5 goals – 11/17

Corners – 4.18

Corners per Away game – 3.59

Yellow cards – 1.71

Yellow cards per Away game – 1.82

United drew 1-1 with Chelsea in their last league game, but before that they had lost 3-1 to Arsenal and 4-0 to Liverpool, which highlights just how much work new manager Erik Ten Haag will have on his hands when he takes the reigns this summer. Brentford have had a good first season in The Premier League, as survival would always have been their main goal and they have done that with something to spare. United won 3-1 when the sides met earlier this season and I feel we could see a similar type of game and result here. United need a awin, for morale and to keep them in the hunt for the Europa league, as Champions League qualification is now surely out of reach. Brentfotrd will see this as a real chance to get another huge win, they are surely safe from relegation now so should be able to approach this with a certain freedom, and they will know that they probably will never have a better chance of beating Man United at Old Trafford than they do today. I expect United to win. But a Brentford goal would not surprise me at all. Thomas Frank’s side are unbeaten in their last 4 league games, as they beat Chelsea 4-1 away from home,West Ham 2-0, Watford  2-1 and then drew 0-0  with Spurs in their last league game, so they are ending the season strong. Corners look a good bet as I feel at times this could become a bit end to end, there were 15 corners when they played earlier in the season with 9 for United and 6 for Brentford, and even if United do build up pressure and keep Brentford camped deep in their own half, we could see quite a few corners from United. Cards would not be a huge surprise, but there were no cards at all when these sides met earlier in the season, and it’s not a game where cards jump off the page. I can see this being very similar to their meeting earlier in the season as both sides have their moments, but United ultimately take control and come out victorious.

Man United to win 3-1 – 14/1 Bet365 (1 point)

A goal in each half and 3+corners in each half – 11/10 Skybet (2 points)

13+ match corners – 5/2 Skybet (1 point)

Author: Eva Gray