Liverpool vs Man United – Stats and best bets – Tuesday 19th April

Although the best bets in this write up are backed up by statistics they are not certainties and still could lose. I will use the statistics to point out likely events in these games, and the best bets are the types of bets that I believe stand a good chance of coming in. The best bets will vary in price as this is a case of taking what the stats give us, rather than trying to force bets for the sake of it. I will be as transparent as possible in each write up about why I feel each bet is best bet material. All bets are rated on a 1-3 points system of how strong we believe the chance of it happening is, with 3 being the strongest. This is just an indication of my confidence and should not be taken as advice on what amount to place on a bet, you should only bet what you can afford to lose.

 

Liverpool

Scored – 79
Conceded – 22
Both teams scored – 12/31
Home games both teams scored – 5/15
over 2.5 goals – 20/31
Home games over 2.5 goals – 9/15
Corners – 7.29
Corners per home game – 7.47
Yellow cards – 1.29
Yellow cards per home game – 1.07

Man United

Scored – 52
Conceded – 44
Both teams scored – 20/32
Away games both teams scored – 11/15
over 2.5 goals – 15/32
Away games over 2.5 goals – 8/15
Corners – 5.34
Corners per Away game – 5.40
Yellow cards – 2
Yellow cards per Away game – 2.27

Both sides come here on the back of 3-2 wins. United needed yet another at trick from Cristiano Ronaldo to overcome Norwich at Old Trafford, whilst Liverpool beat rivals Man City in The FA Cup semi-final on Saturday, to advance to the final. We are really in the business end of the season now and Liverpool have big games coming thick and fast. They had The FA Cup semi on Saturday, play United here, then they face Everton in The Merseyside derby on Sunday before the first leg of their Champions League semi-final against Villarreal on Wednesday next week. These are the type of problems Man United and their fans wish they had, with top 4 all they have left to play for. However, it was a very good weekend for United with Spurs and Arsenal both losing, so they now sit 3 points off 4th placed Spurs, and level on points with Arsenal, though Arsenal do have a game in hand. United will be bang up for this as a win at Anfield would really give the fans something to cheer about and create a bit of a buzz around the club again. There is no hiding that these are dark times for United fans, but a win here would offer some temporary relief and lift a little of the gloom. This is a huge game for Liverpool as well as they are still chasing The Premier League crown. Jurgen Klopp’s men sit 1 point off league leaders Man City and will know that any dropped points could be crucial. Who can forget the meeting earlier in the season between these two, where Liverpool won 5-0 at Old Trafford. The last two league meetings between these sides has seen an aggregate score of 9-2 to Liverpool. I feel there is a good chance we see both teams score here. It would take a braver person than me to predict that United will keep a clean sheet at Anfield, and whilst Liverpool have a good defensive record, United have quality attacking players as well as pace in their ranks, and they will look to take advantage of any fatigue that is in the Liverpool legs. We should be in for a  very entertaining game here,United will be bang up for it given the humiliation that Liverpool made them suffer in front of their home fans, and the atmosphere at Anfield should be electric. Corners and cards both look like good angles from the stats as well. This United team are no strangers to going away from home and picking up surprise results, as they have shown by beating Man City in 4 of their last 6 trips to the Etihad in all competitions, but it has been 6 years since United came to Anfield and won, and even with Liverpool’s packed schedule it will take a monumental effort for Ralf Rangnick’s side to leave here with all 3 points. I do think that we could see them leave with a point, if their attacking players are on form and can keep up with Liverpool in a shootout type game. Whatever the final score we should see a very entertaining game here that has plenty of action.

Both teams to score, 1+ corner each team in each half and 20+ booking points each team – 13/2 Skybet (1 point)

Over 1.5 goals, over 8.5 corners and over 25 match booking points – 11/10 Skybet (3 points)

Salah and Ronaldo both to have 2+ shots on target each (only a recommended bet if both players start) – 8/1 Skybet (1 point)

Both teams to score in both halves, 2+ corners each team in each half and 20+booking points each team – 50/1 Skybet (1/2 Point)

Author: Eva Gray