League 2 stats and best bets – Saturday 5th February

Although the best bets in this write up are backed up by statistics they are not certainties and still could lose. I will use the statistics to point out likely events in these games, and the best bets are the types of bets that I believe stand a good chance of coming in. The best bets will vary in price as this is a case of taking what the stats give us, rather than trying to force bets for the sake of it. I will be as transparent as possible in each write up about why I feel each bet is best bet material. All bets are rated on a 1-3 points system of how strong we believe the chance of it happening is, with 3 being the strongest. This is just an indication of my confidence and should not be taken as advice on what amount to place on a bet, you should only bet what you can afford to lose.

 

Harrogate vs Bradford

Harrogate have played 28 league games this season, scoring 38 and conceding 38, with 14 games having both teams score and 15 over 2.5 goals. Bradford have played 28 league games this season scoring 35 and conceding 33 with 20 games having both teams score and 13 over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 20/23 Betfair (2 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 11/10 Skybet (2 points)

 

Forest Green vs Newport

Forest Green have played 27 league games this season scoring 56 and conceding 22, with 12 games having both teams score and 11 over 2.5 goals. Newport have played 28 league games this season scoring 46 and conceding 35, with both teams scoring in 16 of their games and 19 having over 2.5 goals. The top two scorers in the division meet here so we should get goals.

A goal in each half – 4/5 Skybet (3 points)

Forest Green to win and both teams to score – 10/3 bet365 (1 point)

Over 2.5 goals – 1/1 bet365 (2 points)

 

Sutton vs Bristol Rovers

Sutton have played 27 league games this season, scoring 43 and conceding 33 with 14 games having both teams score and 14 over 2.5 goals. Rovers have played 25 league games this season, scoring 34 and conceding 36 with 16 games having both teams score and 13 over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 13/16 Smarkets (2 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 1/1 William Hill (2 points)

 

Swindon vs Exeter

Swindon have played 27 league games this season, scoring 42 and conceding 33 with 20 games having both teams score and 14 over 2.5 goals. Exeter have played 26 league games this season scoring 37 and conceding 26 with 15 games having both teams score and 14 over 2.5 goals.Swindon average 5.44 corners per game and 5.62 per home game.Exeter average 5.35 corners per game and 5.46 per away game.

Both teams to score – 4/5 bet365 (2 points)

A goal in each half and 3+ corners in each half – 11/8 Skybet (2 points)

2+ corners each team in each half – 11/4 Skybet (1 point)

Author: Eva Gray