League 1 stats and best bets – Saturday 12th February

Although the best bets in this write up are backed up by statistics they are not certainties and still could lose. I will use the statistics to point out likely events in these games, and the best bets are the types of bets that I believe stand a good chance of coming in. The best bets will vary in price as this is a case of taking what the stats give us, rather than trying to force bets for the sake of it. I will be as transparent as possible in each write up about why I feel each bet is best bet material. All bets are rated on a 1-3 points system of how strong we believe the chance of it happening is, with 3 being the strongest. This is just an indication of my confidence and should not be taken as advice on what amount to place on a bet, you should only bet what you can afford to lose.

 

AFC Wimbledon vs Sunderland

Wimbledon have played 30 games this season, scoring 36 and conceding 46 with 17 games having both teams score and 15 over 2.5 goals. Sunderland have played 31 league games, scoring 55 and conceding 43 with 17 games having both teams score and 21 over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 4/6 William Hill (2 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 20/23 Betfair (2 points)

Sunderland to win and both teams to score – 16/5 Paddy Power (1 point)

Accrington vs Crewe

Accrington average 2.23 yellows per game and 1.94 per home game. Crewe average 1.90 yellows per game and 2.40 per away game.

20+ booking points each team – 11/10 Skybet (2 points)

 

Cheltenham vs Fleetwood

Cheltenham have played 30 league games this season, scoring 36 and  conceding 49, with 20 games having both teams to score and 15 over 2.5 goals. Fleetwood have played 30 league games, scoring 44 and conceding 51 with 20 games having both teams to score and 19 over 2.5 goals

Both teams to score – 3/4  bet365 (2 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 19/20 bet365 (2 points)

MK Dons vs Ipswich

MK Dons have played 31 league games this season, scoring 51 and conceding 34 with 19 games having both teams score and 17 over 2.5 goals. Ipswich have played 31 league games, scoring 49 and conceding 38 with 17 games having both teams score and 17 over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 5/6 Coral (3 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 11/10 Coral (3 points)

Oxford vs Bolton

Oxford have played 31 league games this season, scoring 54 and conceding 38 with 21 league games having both teams score and 17 over 2.5 goals. Bolton have played 30 league games, scoring 44 and conceding 39, with 11 games having both teams score and 15 over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 8/11 William Hill (3 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 13/16 Smarkets (3 points)

 

Wigan vs Charlton

Wigan average 5.85 corners per game and 6.38 per home game. Charlton average 5.90 corners per game and 5.87 per away game. Wigan average 2.15 yellows per game and 2.23 per home game. Charlton average 2.47 yellows per game and 2.67 per away game.

3+ corners each team and 10+ booking points each team – 4/6 Skybet (3 points)

2+ corners each team in each half – 3/1 Skybet (1 point)

20+ booking points each team – 10/11 Skybet (2 points)

Author: Eva Gray