League 1 and League 2 stats and best bets – Tuesday 5th April

Although the best bets in this write up are backed up by statistics they are not certainties and still could lose. I will use the statistics to point out likely events in these games, and the best bets are the types of bets that I believe stand a good chance of coming in. The best bets will vary in price as this is a case of taking what the stats give us, rather than trying to force bets for the sake of it. I will be as transparent as possible in each write up about why I feel each bet is best bet material. All bets are rated on a 1-3 points system of how strong we believe the chance of it happening is, with 3 being the strongest. This is just an indication of my confidence and should not be taken as advice on what amount to place on a bet, you should only bet what you can afford to lose.

 

League 1

AFC Wimbledon vs Charlton

AFC Wimbledon average 1.88 yellows per game and 2.26 per home game. Charlton average 2.50 yellows per game and 2.74 per away game.

50+ match booking points – 1/1 Skybet (2 points)

90+ match booking points – 11/1 Skybet (1 point)

Fleetwood vs Lincoln

Fleetwood have played 39 games this season, scoring 53 and conceding 68 with 24 games having both teams score and 23 over 2.5 goals. Lincoln have played 40 games this season, scoring 45 and conceding 53 with 23 games having both teams score and 19 over 2.5 goals.

A goal in both halves – 4/5 Skybet (2 points)

Both teams to score – 4/5 Bet365 (3 points)

Morecambe vs Oxford

Morecambe have played 40 games this season, scoring 50 and conceding 79 with 24 games having both teams score and 23 over 2.5 goals. Oxford have played 40 games this season, scoring 74 and conceding 50 with 27 games having both teams score and 23 over 2.5 goals.

A goal in both halves – 8/13 Skybet (3 points)

Oxford to win and both teams to score – 14/5 William Hill (1 point)

Over 2.5 goals – 4/5 Bet365 (2 points)

Wigan vs Accrington Stanley

Wigan average 5.63 corners per game and 6.10 per home game. Accrington average 5.20 corners per game and 5.53 per away game.

2+ corners each team in each half – 3/1 Skybet (1 point)

4+ corners each team – 5/6 Skybet (2 points)

League 2

Forest Green vs Mansfield

Forest Green have played 38 games this season, scoring 67 and conceding 32 with 18 games having both teams score and 13 over 2.5 goals. Mansfield have played 38 games this season, scoring 53 and conceding 43 with 23 games having both teams score and 19 over 2.5 goals. I don’t think this is a game to go big with bets, but feel we should see a few goals and there is a decent chance we could see Forest Green win with both teams scoring.

A goal in both halves – 4/5 Skybet (2 points)

Forest Green to win and both teams to score – 18/5 William Hill (1 point)

Author: Eva Gray