League 1 and League 2 stats and best bets – Tuesday 1st February

Although the best bets in this write up are backed up by statistics they are not certainties and still could lose. I will use the statistics to point out likely events in these games, and the best bets are the types of bets that I believe stand a good chance of coming in. The best bets will vary in price as this is a case of taking what the stats give us, rather than trying to force bets for the sake of it. I will be as transparent as possible in each write up about why I feel each bet is best bet material. All bets are rated on a 1-3 points system of how strong we believe the chance of it happening is, with 3 being the strongest. This is just an indication of my confidence and should not be taken as advice on what amount to place on a bet, you should only bet what you can afford to lose.

 

League 1

 

AFC Wimbledon vs Cheltenham

Wimbledon have played 27 league games this season scoring 32 and conceding 40 with 15 games having both teams score and 13 over 2.5 goals. Cheltenham have played 28 league games scoring 32 and conceding 46 with 18 games having both teams score and 13 over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 10/11 bet365 (3 Points)

Over 2.5 goals – 11/10 Coral (3 Points)

 

Wigan vs Oxford

Wigan have played 25 league games this season scoring 47 and conceding 24 with 16 games having both teams score and 15 over 2.5 goals. Oxford have played 28 league games scoring 50 and conceding 33 with 19 games having both teams score and 16 over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 8/11 William Hill (3 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 20/23 Betfair (3 points)

A goal in each half – 4/6 Skybet (3 points)

 

League 2

 

Bradford vs Leyton Orient

Bradford have played 25 league games this season scoring 34 and conceding 32 with 19 games having both teams score and 13 over 2.5 goals. 11 of their 13 home league games have seen both teams score. Orient have played 25 league games this season scoring 37 and conceding 24 with 12 games having both teams score and 10 over 2.5 goals. 8 of their 12 away league games have had both teams score.

Both teams to score – 5/6 bet365 (3 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 23/20 Coral (3 points)

A goal in each half – 5/6 Skybet (3 points)

 

Harrogate vs Mansfield

Harrogate have played 25 league games this season scoring 38 and conceding 38 with 14 games having both teams score and 15 over 2.5 goals. Mansfield have played 26 league games this season scoring 37 and conceding 31 with 16 games having both teams  score and 13 over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 3/4  Boyle sports (3 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 15/16 Smarkets (3 points)

 

Northampton vs Barrow

Northampton average 2.04 yellow per game and 1.85 per home game. Barrow average 2.74 yellows per game and 3.31 per away game.

20+ booking points each team – 9/4 Skybet (3 points)

40+ match booking points – 5/4 Skybet (3 points)

70+ match booking points – 10/1 Skybet (1 point)

 

Swindon vs Crawley

Both sides have played 26 league games this season. Swindon have scored 41 and conceded 32 with 19 games having both teams score and 14 over 2.5 goals. Crawley have scored 31 and conceded 36 with 17 league games having both teams score and 14 over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 13/17 10bet (3 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 20/23 Betfair (3 points)

Author: Eva Gray