League 1 and League 2 stats and best bets – Saturday 19th March

Although the best bets in this write up are backed up by statistics they are not certainties and still could lose. I will use the statistics to point out likely events in these games, and the best bets are the types of bets that I believe stand a good chance of coming in. The best bets will vary in price as this is a case of taking what the stats give us, rather than trying to force bets for the sake of it. I will be as transparent as possible in each write up about why I feel each bet is best bet material. All bets are rated on a 1-3 points system of how strong we believe the chance of it happening is, with 3 being the strongest. This is just an indication of my confidence and should not be taken as advice on what amount to place on a bet, you should only bet what you can afford to lose.

 

League 1

 

Charlton vs Burton

Charlton have played 37 games this season, scoring 43 and conceding 49, with 19 games having both teams score and 18 games ending with over 2.5 goals. Burton have played 38 games this season, scoring 48  and conceding 58, with 23 games having both teams score and 20 games ending with over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 10/11 Bet365 (3 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 11/10 Bet365 (3 points)

 

Lincoln vs Sunderland

Lincoln average 5.05 corners per game and 5.42 per home game. Sunderland average 6.11 corners per game and 5.68 per away game.

2+ corners each team in each half – 3/1 Skybet (1 point)

10+ match corners – 8/11 Skybet (2 points)

 

Oxford vs Ipswich

Oxford have played 38 games this season, scoring 73 and conceding 48, with 26 games having both teams score and 23 games ending with over 2.5 goals. Ipswich have played 38 games this season, scoring 57 and conceding 39, with 18 games having both teams score and 18 games ending with over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 8/11 William Hill (3 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 19/20 Bet365 (3 points)

 

Rotherham vs Shrewsbury

Rotherham average 6.50 corners per game and 6.26 per home game.Shrewsbury average 5.26 corners per  game and 5 per away game.

2+ corners each team in each half – 4/1 Skybet (1 point)

10+ match corners – 4/5 Skybet (2 points)

 

League 2

 

Crawley vs Swindon

Crawley have played 36 games this season, scoring 44 and conceding 52, with 25 games having both teams score and 21 games ending with over 2.5 goals. Swindon have played 37 games this season, scoring 61 and conceding 45, with 25 games having both teams score and 23 games ending with over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 8/11 William Hill (3 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 19/20 Bet365 (3 points)

 

Leyton Orient vs Rochdale

Orient average 2.54 yellows per game and 2.33 per home game. Rochdale average 1.11 yellows per game and 1.17 per away game. This is the highest yellow card average with orient vs the lowest yellow card average in Rochdale. It is highly likely that Orient will get the most cards here.

Leyton Orient most booking points – 6/5 Skybet (3 points)

 

Northampton vs Bristol Rovers

Northampton average 2.11 yellows per game and 1.78 per home game. Rovers average 2.11 yellows per game and 2.50 per away game.

50+ match booking points – 1/1Skybet (2 points)

Author: Eva Gray