Crystal Palace vs Arsenal – stats and best bets – Monday 4th April

Although the best bets in this write up are backed up by statistics they are not certainties and still could lose. I will use the statistics to point out likely events in these games, and the best bets are the types of bets that I believe stand a good chance of coming in. The best bets will vary in price as this is a case of taking what the stats give us, rather than trying to force bets for the sake of it. I will be as transparent as possible in each write up about why I feel each bet is best bet material. All bets are rated on a 1-3 points system of how strong we believe the chance of it happening is, with 3 being the strongest. This is just an indication of my confidence and should not be taken as advice on what amount to place on a bet, you should only bet what you can afford to lose.

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal

Crystal Palace

Scored – 39
Conceded – 38
Both teams scored – 15/29
Home games both teams scored – 9/15
Over 2.5 goals – 15/29
Home games over 2.5 goals – 8/15
Corners – 4.55
Corners per home game – 4.93
Yellow cards – 1.79
Yellow cards per home game – 1.87

Arsenal

Scored – 44
Conceded – 31
Both teams scored – 10/28
Away games both teams scored – 4/13
Over 2.5 goals – 14/28
Away games over 2.5 goals – 7/13
Corners – 5.29
Corners per Away game – 4.08
Yellow cards – 1.61
Yellow cards per Away game – 1.46

Palace are unbeaten in their last 6 games in all competitions, and whilst a top half finish is the best they can hope for in the league, they do have an FA Cup semi final at Wembley to look forward to. Arsenal are in 5th level on points with Spurs in 4th but The Gunners have 2 games in hand on their London Rivals. Arsenal are the clear favourites in the race for 4th but will still know they can’t afford to slip up with Spurs and West Ham both winning at the weekend. It ended 2-2 when the sides met earlier this season where a last gasp equaliser from Alexander Lacazette gained Arsenal a point.  4 of the last 5 meetings between these sides have ended in a draw, with 8 of the last 9 head to head meetings having both teams score. I feel there is a good chance we see both teams score here. Palace can play with a freedom in the league games they have remaining, and players will be desperate to impress to get a spot in the FA Cup semi final squad. It has been a good first season at the helm for Arsenal legend Patrick Viera, but he would love a win infront of his new home fans, over the club where he achieved so much in his playing years. I feel corners are a solid angle for bets as well and whilst this isn’t a game where I would be going crazy about cards, I feel we should see both teams pick up a booking each at least. I think this will be a very close game, and as the recent head to head form tells us there is a good chance that we see both teams score, and the game end in a draw. We have already seen this weekend that following the international break, form can almost go out the window and the games can be extremely unpredictable, but I will trust the stats and form here and feel we could see these sides play  out their second 2-2 draw of the season

Both teams to score, 1+ corner each team in each half and 10+ booking points each team – 11/4 Skybet (2 points) 

2-2 correct score – 18/1 Bet365 (1 point)

A goal in each half and 3+ corners in each half – 6/4 Skybet (2 points)

Author: Eva Gray