Championship, League 1 and League 2 – Stats and best bets – Tuesday 8th March

Although the best bets in this write up are backed up by statistics they are not certainties and still could lose. I will use the statistics to point out likely events in these games, and the best bets are the types of bets that I believe stand a good chance of coming in. The best bets will vary in price as this is a case of taking what the stats give us, rather than trying to force bets for the sake of it. I will be as transparent as possible in each write up about why I feel each bet is best bet material. All bets are rated on a 1-3 points system of how strong we believe the chance of it happening is, with 3 being the strongest. This is just an indication of my confidence and should not be taken as advice on what amount to place on a bet, you should only bet what you can afford to lose.

 

Championship

Blackburn vs Millwall

Blackburn average 2.54 yellow cards per game and 2.47 per home game. Millwall average 1.85 yellows per game and 2.06 per away game. Blackburn league the lead in cards and Millwall are no strangers to the referee’s book. I feel it won’t take much to set this game off with Blackburn in 4th spot and Millwall in 10th just 3 points off the play-off spots and 5 points off Blackburn. We should see cards here.

40+ match booking points – 11/10 Skybet (3 points)

20+ booking points each team – 2/1 Skybet (3 points)

70+ match booking points – 9/1 Skybet (1 point)

 

Sheffield United vs Middlesborough 

Sheffield United average 5.62 corners per game and 6.50 per home game. Boro average 6 corners per game and 5.63 per away game.

2+ corners each team in each half – 11/4 Skybet (1 point)

11+ match corners – 1/1 Skybet (2 points)

 

League 1

Ipswich vs Lincoln

Ipswich have played 36 games this season, scoring 55 and conceding 39, with 18 games having both teams score and 18 games over 2.5 goals. Lincoln have played 34 games this season, scoring 40 and conceding 47, with 21 games having both teams score and 17 games over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 10/11 Bet365 (2 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 19/20 Bet365 (2 points)

 

MK Dons vs Cheltenham

MK Dons have played 36 games this season, scoring 59 and conceding 36, with 21 games having both teams score and 19 games over 2.5 goals.Cheltenham have played 35 games this season, scoring 48 and conceding 56, with 22 games having both teams score and 18 games over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 4/5 Bet365 (2 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 17/20 Bet365 (2 points)

 

League 2

Exeter vs Swindon

Exeter average 5.59 corners per game and 5.67 per home game. Swindon average 5.32 corners per game and 5.06 per away game.

2+ corners each team in each half – 11/4 Skybet (1 point)

4+ corners in each half – 8/11 Skybet (2 points)

Author: Eva Gray