Championship, League 1 and League 2 – stats and best bets – Tuesday 22nd February

Although the best bets in this write up are backed up by statistics they are not certainties and still could lose. I will use the statistics to point out likely events in these games, and the best bets are the types of bets that I believe stand a good chance of coming in. The best bets will vary in price as this is a case of taking what the stats give us, rather than trying to force bets for the sake of it. I will be as transparent as possible in each write up about why I feel each bet is best bet material. All bets are rated on a 1-3 points system of how strong we believe the chance of it happening is, with 3 being the strongest. This is just an indication of my confidence and should not be taken as advice on what amount to place on a bet, you should only bet what you can afford to lose.

 

Championship

Bristol City vs Coventry

Bristol City have played 33 games this season, scoring 44 and conceding 59 with 24 games having both teams score and 22 over 2.5 goals. Coventry have played 31 league games, scoring 40 and conceding 36 with 16 games having both teams score and 14 over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 3/4 Smarkets (2 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 39/40 Smarkets (2 points)

 

Middlesborough vs West Brom

Boro average 6 corners per game and 6.75 per home game. West Brom average 6.06 corners per away game and 5.65 per away game.

11+ match corners – 1/1 Skybet (2 points)

2+ corners each team in each half – 3/1 Skybet (1 point)

Preston vs Nottingham Forest

Preston have played 33 games this season, scoring 37 goals and conceding 38, with 18 games having both teams score and 15 games ending with over 2.5 goals. Forest have played 31 games this season, scoring 43 and conceding 33, with 17 games having both teams score and 16 over 2.5 goals. 12 out of Preston’s 16 home league games this season have seen both teams score as well.

Both teams to score – 13/14 Smarkets (3 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 13/10 Betvictor (2 points)

League 1

Ipswich vs Cheltenham

Ipswich  have played 33 games this season, scoring 52 goals and conceding 38, with 17 games having both teams score and 18 games ending with over 2.5 goals. Cheltenham have played 32 games this season, scoring 43 and conceding 54, with 21 games having both teams score and 16 over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 19/20 Coral (2 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 1/1 BetVictor (2 points)

Sunderland vs Burton

Sunderland have played 33 games this season, scoring 57 goals and conceding 46, with 19 games having both teams score and 22 games ending with over 2.5 goals. Burton have played 33 games this season, scoring 41 and conceding 44, with 19 games having both teams score and 17 over 2.5 goals

Both teams to score – 10/11 bet365 (2 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 15/16 Smarkets (2 points)

League 2

Bradford vs Harrogate

Bradford have played 32 games this season, scoring 36 and conceding 38 with 20 games having both teams score and 13 over 2.5 goals. Harrogate have played 30 league games, scoring 47 and conceding 48 with 17 games having both teams score and 18 over 2.5 goals. 12 of Bradford’s 15 home games this season have seen both teams score.

Both teams to score – 5/6 Quinn Bet (3 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 21/20 William Hill (2 points)

 

Leyton Orient vs Bristol Rovers

Orient average 2.52 yellows per game and 2.27 per home game. Rovers average 2.13 yellows per game and 2.53 per away game, so it looks like the referee will be taking a few names here.

20+ booking points each team  – 10/11 Skybet (2 points)

70+ match booking points – 7/2 Skybet (1 point)

80+ match booking points – 6/1 Skybet (1 point)

Author: Eva Gray