Championship, League 1 and League 2 – stats and best bets – Tuesday 15th and Wednesday 16th March

Although the best bets in this write up are backed up by statistics they are not certainties and still could lose. I will use the statistics to point out likely events in these games, and the best bets are the types of bets that I believe stand a good chance of coming in. The best bets will vary in price as this is a case of taking what the stats give us, rather than trying to force bets for the sake of it. I will be as transparent as possible in each write up about why I feel each bet is best bet material. All bets are rated on a 1-3 points system of how strong we believe the chance of it happening is, with 3 being the strongest. This is just an indication of my confidence and should not be taken as advice on what amount to place on a bet, you should only bet what you can afford to lose.

 

Championship

 

Blackburn vs Derby

Blackburn average 2.46 yellows per game and 2.32 per home game. Derby average 2.05 yellows per game and 2.11 per away game

20+ booking points each team – 6/4 Skybet (2 points)

60+ match booking points – 7/2 Skybet (1 point)

West Brom vs Fulham

West Brom average 5.81 corners per game and 6.35 per home game. Fulham average 6.36 corners per game and 5.47 per away game.

2+ corners each team in each half – 3/1 Skybet (1 point)

11+ match corners – 6/5 Skybet (2 points)

Cardiff vs Stoke (Wednesday 16th)

Cardiff average 2.24 yellows per game and 2.21 per home game. Stoke average 2.17 yellows per game and 2.28 per away game.

20+ booking points each team – 13/8 Skybet (2 points)

60+ match booking points – 7/2 Skybet (1 point)

League 1

Charlton vs Gillingham

Charlton average 2.58 yellows per game and 2.50 per home game. Gillingham average 1.89 yellows per game and 2.17 per away game.

20+ booking points each team – 9/4 Skybet (2 points)

50+ match booking points – 3/1 Skybet (1 point)

Sheffield Wednesday vs Accrington

Wednesday average 6.42 corners per game and 6.72 per home game. Accrington average 5.19 corners per game and 5.59 per away game.

2+ corners each team in each half – 3/1 Skybet (1 point)

11+ match corners – 5/6 Skybet (2 points)

Wycombe vs Fleetwood

Wycombe have played 37 games this season, scoring 61 and conceding 47 with 20 games having both team score and 20 games having over 2.5 goals. Fleetwood have played 36 games this season, scoring 50 and conceding 66 with 23 games having both team score and 22 games having over 2.5 goals. 

Both teams to score – 3/4 Bet365 (2 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 8/11 Bet365 (2 points)

League 2

Exeter vs Crawley

Exeter have played 34 games this season, scoring 50 and conceding 34 with 20 games having both team score and 18 games having over 2.5 goals. Crawley have played 35 games this season, scoring 43 and conceding 50 with 24 games having both team score and 20 games having over 2.5 goals. 

Both teams to score – 10/11 William Hill (2 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 10/11 Skybet (2 points)

Scunthorpe vs Barrow

Scunthorpe average 2.03 yellows per game and 2.39 per home game. Barrow average 2.51 yellows per game and 3.06 per away game. Scunthorpe have the highest yellow card average at home in league 2 and Barrow have the highest away yellow card average, so we should see cards here.

20+ booking points each team – 10/11 Skybet (3 points)

60+ match booking points – 2/1 Skybet (2 points)

90+ match booking points – 10/1 Skybet (1 point)

Swindon vs Sutton

Swindon have played 36 games this season, scoring 59 and conceding 44 with 24 games having both team score and 22 games having over 2.5 goals. Sutton have played 35 games this season, scoring 53 and conceding 40 with 18 games having both team score and 16 games having over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 8/11 Bet365 (2 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 10/11 Skybet (2 points)

Author: Eva Gray