Championship, League 1 and League 2 stats and best bets – Saturday 5th March

Although the best bets in this write up are backed up by statistics they are not certainties and still could lose. I will use the statistics to point out likely events in these games, and the best bets are the types of bets that I believe stand a good chance of coming in. The best bets will vary in price as this is a case of taking what the stats give us, rather than trying to force bets for the sake of it. I will be as transparent as possible in each write up about why I feel each bet is best bet material. All bets are rated on a 1-3 points system of how strong we believe the chance of it happening is, with 3 being the strongest. This is just an indication of my confidence and should not be taken as advice on what amount to place on a bet, you should only bet what you can afford to lose.

 

Championship

QPR vs Cardiff

QPR have played 34 games this season, scoring 49 and conceding 39 with 19 games having both teams score and 17 over 2.5 goals. Cardiff  have played 35 games this season, scoring 41 and conceding 54 with 18 games having both teams score and 19 over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 5/6 Bet365 (2 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 23/20 Coral (2 points)

League 1

Charlton vs Sunderland

Charlton average 5.62 corners per game and 5.71 per home game. Sunderland average 6.09 corners per game and 5.50 per away game. Charlton average 2.53 yellow cards per game and 2.41 per home game. Sunderland average 2.03 yellows per game and 2.28 per away game.

4+ corners each team and 10+ booking points each team – 5/4 Skybet (2 points)

2+ corners each team in each half – 11/4 Skybet (1 point)

20+ booking points each team – 10/11 Skybet (2 points)

Fleetwood vs Ipswich

Fleetwood have played 33 games this season, scoring 47 and conceding 58 with 21 games having both teams score and 20 over 2.5 goals. Ipswich have played 35 games this season, scoring 53 and conceding 39 with 18 games having both teams score and 18 over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 17/20 Unibet (2 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 11/10 Unibet (2 points)

Lincoln vs Sheffield Wednesday

Lincoln average 5.18 corners per game and 5.28 per home game. Wednesday average 6.41 corners per game and 6.06 per away game.

11+ match corners – 1/1 Skybet (2 points)

2+ corners each team in each half – 3/1 Skybet (1 point)

 

Oxford vs Burton

Oxford have played 36 games this season, scoring 67 and conceding 46 with 24 games having both teams score and 21 over 2.5 goals. Burton have played 36 games this season, scoring 44 and conceding 52 with 21 games having both teams score and 18 over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 3/4 Bet365 (2 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 4/5 Bet365 (2 points)

League 2

Bradford vs Swindon

Bradford have played 34 games this season, scoring 37 and conceding 43 with 21 games having both teams score and 14 over 2.5 goals. Swindon have played 33 games this season, scoring 55 and conceding 40 with 22 games having both teams score and 20 over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 8/11 William Hill (3 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 9/10 Bet365 (3 points)

 

Sutton vs Rochdale

Sutton have played 33 games this season, scoring 50 and conceding 39 with 18 games having both teams score and 15 over 2.5 goals. Rochdale have played 32 games this season, scoring 39 and conceding 42 with 19 games having both teams score and 15 over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 8/11 Bet365 (2 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 9/10 Bet365 (2 points)

Author: Eva Gray