Championship, League 1 and League 2 stats and best bets – Saturday 30th April

Although the best bets in this write up are backed up by statistics they are not certainties and still could lose. I will use the statistics to point out likely events in these games, and the best bets are the types of bets that I believe stand a good chance of coming in. The best bets will vary in price as this is a case of taking what the stats give us, rather than trying to force bets for the sake of it. I will be as transparent as possible in each write up about why I feel each bet is best bet material. All bets are rated on a 1-3 points system of how strong we believe the chance of it happening is, with 3 being the strongest. This is just an indication of my confidence and should not be taken as advice on what amount to place on a bet, you should only bet what you can afford to lose

 

Championship

Blackburn vs Bournemouth

Blackburn average 2.48 yellows per game and 2.23 per home game. Bournemouth average 2.19 yellows per game and 2.27 per Away game

20+ booking points each team – 4/6 Skybet (3 points)

70+ match booking points – 5/2 Skybet (1 point)

Middlesbrough vs Stoke

Boro average 6.09 corners per game and 6.77 per home game. Stoke average 5.16 corners per game and 5.23 per Away game. Boro average 2.14 yellows per game and 1.82 per home game. Stoke average 2 yellows per game and 2.09 per Away game

2+ corners each team in each half – 7/2 Skybet (1 point)

3+ corners each team and 10+booking points each team – 10/11 Skybet (3 points)

11+ match corners – 6/5 Skybet (2 points)

League 1

Bolton vs Fleetwood

Bolton have played 45 games this season, scoring 70 and conceding 55, with 21 games having both teams score and 23 games over 2.5 goals. Fleetwood have played 45 games this season, scoring 60 and conceding 78, with 29 games having both teams score and 26 games over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 7/10 Bet365 (3 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 17/20 Bet365 (3 points)

A goal in each half – 4/6 Skybet (3 points)

Morecambe vs Sunderland

Morecambe have played 45 games this season, scoring 57 and conceding 87, with 28 games having both teams score and 26 games over 2.5 goals. Sunderland have played 45 games this season, scoring 78 and conceding 53, with 25 games having both teams score and 27 games over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 8/11 Betfair (3 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 4/5 Bet365 (3 points)

A goal in each half – 4/6 Skybet (3 points)

Shrewsbury vs Wigan

Shrewsbury average 5.18 corners per game and 5.64 per home game. Wigan average 5.84 corners per game and 5.14 per Away game

2+ corners each team In each half – 7/2 Skybet (1 point)

11+ match corners – 11/8 Skybet (2 points)

League 2

Forest Green vs Harrogate

Forest Green have played 44 games this season, scoring 72 and conceding 39, with 20 games having both teams score and 15 games over 2.5 goals. Harrogate have played 44 games this season, scoring 61 and conceding 72, with 23 games having both teams score and 27 games over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 10/11 Bet365 (2 points)

Over 2.5 goals –  8/11 Unibet (3 points)

A goal in each half and 3+ corners in each half – 6/5 Skybet (3 points)

Rochdale vs Bristol Rovers 

Rochdale average 5.70 corners per game and 5.95 corners per game. Bristol Rovers average 5.16 corners per game and 6 per Away game

2+ corners each team In each half – 3/1 Skybet (1 point)

11+ match corners – 11/10 Skybet (2 points)

Author: Eva Gray