Championship, League 1 and League 2 – Stats and best bets – Saturday 26th February

Although the best bets in this write up are backed up by statistics they are not certainties and still could lose. I will use the statistics to point out likely events in these games, and the best bets are the types of bets that I believe stand a good chance of coming in. The best bets will vary in price as this is a case of taking what the stats give us, rather than trying to force bets for the sake of it. I will be as transparent as possible in each write up about why I feel each bet is best bet material. All bets are rated on a 1-3 points system of how strong we believe the chance of it happening is, with 3 being the strongest. This is just an indication of my confidence and should not be taken as advice on what amount to place on a bet, you should only bet what you can afford to lose.

 

Championship

 

Blackpool vs Reading

Blackpool have played 33 league games this season, scoring 36 and conceding 40, with 19 games having both teams score and 14 games over 2.5 goals. Reading have played 33 games this season, scoring 41 and conceding 63, 19 games saw both teams score and 20 games ended with over 2.5 goals

Both teams to score – 8/11 bet365 (2 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 10/11 bet365 (2 points)

Nottingham Forest vs Bristol City

Forest have played 32 league games this season, scoring 43 and conceding 33, with 17 games having both teams score and 16 games over 2.5 goals. Bristol City have played 34 games this season, scoring 45 and conceding 61, 25 games saw both teams score and 23 games ended with over 2.5 goals

Both teams to score – 4/5 bet365 (2 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 10/11 bet365 (2 points)

League 1

 

Morecambe vs Ipswich

Morecambe have played 33 league games this season, scoring 43 and conceding 63, with 20 games having both teams score and 19 games over 2.5 goals. Ipswich have played 34 games this season, scoring 52 and conceding 38, 17 games saw both teams score and 18 games ended with over 2.5 goals

Both teams to score – 4/5 bet365 (2 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 1/1 bet365 (2 points)

Ipswich to win and both teams to score – 3/1 bet365 (1 point)

 

Oxford vs Cambridge

Oxford have played 34 league games this season, scoring 61 and conceding 41, with 22 games having both teams score and 19 games over 2.5 goals. Cambridge have played 33 games this season, scoring 44 and conceding 45, 18 games saw both teams score and 15 games ended with over 2.5 goals

Both teams to score – 3/4 bet365 (2 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 3/4 Unibet (2 points)

 

Plymouth vs Rotherham

Plymouth have played 32 league games this season, scoring 54 and conceding 38, with 19 games having both teams score and 18 games over 2.5 goals. Rotherham have played 33 games this season, scoring 60 and conceding 19, 11 games saw both teams score and 10 games ended with over 2.5 goals. Rotherham have a very good defensive record but at home Plymouth are no mugs and will hopefully grab a goal.

Both teams to score – 10/11 bet365 (2 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 21/20 bet365 (2 points)

 

Sheffield Wednesday vs Charlton

Wednesday average 6.28 corners per game and 6.53 per home game. Charlton average 5.67 corners per game and 5.63 per away game.

11+ match corners – 1/1 Skybet (2 points)

2+ corners each team in each half – 3/1 Skybet (1 point)

 

Wigan vs Sunderland

Wigan average 5.61 corners per game and 6.07 per home game. Sunderland average 6.09 corners per game and 5.47 per away game. Wigan average 2.13 yellow cards per game and 2.13 per home game. Sunderland average 1.91 yellows per game and 2.06 per away game.

2+ corners each team in each half – 11/4 Skybet (1 point)

11+ match corners – 1/1 Skybet (2 points)

3+ corners each team and 10+ booking points each team – 8/11 Skybet (3 points)

 

League 2

 

Barrow vs Harrogate

Barrow average 5.55 corners per game and 5.88 per home game. Harrogate average 5.23 corners per game and 5.38 per away game.

2+ corners each team in each half – 7/2 Skybet (1 point)

11+ match corners – 6/4 Skybet (2 points)

 

Bradford vs Mansfield

Bradford have played 33 league games this season, scoring 37 and conceding 41, with 21 games having both teams score and 14 games over 2.5 goals. Mansfield have played 30 games this season, scoring 40 and conceding 33, 18 games saw both teams score and 14 games ended with over 2.5 goals

Both teams to score – 5/6 bet365 (2 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 6/5 Paddy Power (2 points)

 

Crawley vs Forest Green

Crawley have played 30 league games this season, scoring 37 and conceding 41, with 20 games having both teams score and 16 games over 2.5 goals. Forest Green have played 31 games this season, scoring 61 and conceding 25, 14 games saw both teams score and 12 games ended with over 2.5 goals

Both teams to score – 20/23 Betfair (2 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 21/20 William Hill (2 points)

Author: Eva Gray