Championship, League 1 and League 2 – Stats and best bets – Friday 15th April

Although the best bets in this write up are backed up by statistics they are not certainties and still could lose. I will use the statistics to point out likely events in these games, and the best bets are the types of bets that I believe stand a good chance of coming in. The best bets will vary in price as this is a case of taking what the stats give us, rather than trying to force bets for the sake of it. I will be as transparent as possible in each write up about why I feel each bet is best bet material. All bets are rated on a 1-3 points system of how strong we believe the chance of it happening is, with 3 being the strongest. This is just an indication of my confidence and should not be taken as advice on what amount to place on a bet, you should only bet what you can afford to lose.

 

Championship

Bournemouth vs Middlesborough 

Bournemouth average 5.41 corners per game and 5.58 per home game. Boro average 6.05 corners per game and 5.65 per away game. Bournemouth average 2.15 yellows per game and 2.11 per home game. Boro average 2.15 yellows per game and 2.55 per away game

4+ corners each team and 10+ booking points each team – 11/10 Skybet (2 points)

2+ corners each team in each half – 11/4 Skybet (1 point)

60+ match booking points – 11/10 Skybet (2 points)

 

League 1

Accrington vs Burton

Accrington average 2.17 yellows per game and 2.05 per home game. Burton average 1.93 yellows  per game and 2.24 per away game

20+ booking points each team – 13/8 Skybet (2 points)

 

Fleetwood vs Oxford

Fleetwood have played 41 games this season, scoring 55 and conceding 71, with 26 games having both teams score and 24 games ending with over 2.5 goals. Oxford have played 42 games this season, scoring 76 and conceding 54, with 29 games having both teams score and 25 games ending with over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 4/5 bet365 (3 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 19/20 bet365 (3 points)

A goal in each half – 8/11 Skybet (3 points)

 

League 2

Barrow vs Forest Green

Barrow average 5.48 corners per game and 5.60 per home game. Forest Green average 6 corners per game and 6 corners per away game.

2+ corners each team in each half – 4/1 Skybet (1 point)

4+ corners each team – 11/10 Skybet (2 points)

 

Harrogate vs Swindon

Harrogate have played 41 games this season, scoring 57 and conceding 65, with 22 games having both teams score and 24 games ending with over 2.5 goals. Swindon have played 40 games this season, scoring 62 and conceding 49, with 26 games having both teams score and 24 games ending with over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 4/6 bet365 (3 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 17/20 bet365 (3 points)

A goal in each half – 8/11 Skybet (3 points)

 

Newport vs Crawley

Newport have played 41 games this season, scoring 63 and conceding 50, with 22 games having both teams score and 23 games ending with over 2.5 goals. Crawley have played 40 games this season, scoring 50 and conceding 55, with 27 games having both teams score and 23 games ending with over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score – 8/11 bet365 (3 points)

Over 2.5 goals – 17/20  bet365 (3 points)

A goal in each half – 4/6 Skybet (3 points)

Author: Eva Gray