Burnley vs Leicester – Premier League stats and best bets – Tuesday 1st March

Although the best bets in this write up are backed up by statistics they are not certainties and still could lose. I will use the statistics to point out likely events in these games, and the best bets are the types of bets that I believe stand a good chance of coming in. The best bets will vary in price as this is a case of taking what the stats give us, rather than trying to force bets for the sake of it. I will be as transparent as possible in each write up about why I feel each bet is best bet material. All bets are rated on a 1-3 points system of how strong we believe the chance of it happening is, with 3 being the strongest. This is just an indication of my confidence and should not be taken as advice on what amount to place on a bet, you should only bet what you can afford to lose.

 

Burnley

Scored – 22

Conceded – 30

Both teams scored – 12/24

Home games both teams scored – 5/11

over 2.5 goals – 9/24

Home games over 2.5 goals – 3/11

Corners – 4.19

Corners per home game – 5.09

Yellow cards – 1.92

Yellow cards per home game – 1.91

 

Leicester

Scored – 37

Conceded – 43

Both teams scored – 16/23

Away games both teams scored – 10/11

over 2.5 goals – 16/23

Away games over 2.5 goals – 9/11

Corners – 5

Corners per Away game – 5.27

Yellow cards – 1.35

Yellow cards per Away game – 1.64

Leicester sit in 13th spot, 6 points ahead of Burnley who are in 18th. Leicester are without a win in their last 5 league games and lost 2-1 to Wolves last time out. Burnley have only lost 1 of their last 7 league games, and that was a 1-0 loss to Liverpool. In their last 7 league games they have drawn with Arsenal and Man United, before beating Spurs and Brighton and last time out they drew 1-1 with Crystal Palace. In recent years this has been a very entertaining fixture to watch. All of the last 6 head to head meetings have seen both teams score and those 6 games have seen 21 goals, 9 for Burnley and 12 for Leicester. Leicester games this season have been entertaining, especially away from home where 10 out of their 11 games have had both teams score and 9 had at least 3 goals, so there are a lot of reasons to expect this to be an entertaining game. Corners look a good bet with both sides around the 5 corners per game mark. Leicester are a little bit lower than you would like to see in terms of their yellow card average to be confident of them picking up a couple of cards, but Burnley are sure to make this a physical game as they always do, and when these sides met earlier this season there were 6 yellow cards, 4 for Burnley and 2 for Leicester, which is a very good sign for cards in this game. That game earlier this season ended 2-2 with 8 Leicester and 3 Burnley corners, as well as the 6 yellow cards, so it was a very good game for bets. I would not be surprised to see a similar game here, Leicester can play with freedom in the back half of the season as it’s very hard to see them being drawn into too serious of a relegation scrap, and them getting back in the European qualification picture is even more unlikely, plus Burnley are in form and will fancy their chances here. I see both teams scoring and would not be surprised at all to see these sides play out their second 2-2 draw of the season.

Both teams to score, 1+ corner each team in each half and 20+ booking points each team – 13/2 Skybet (1 point)

3+ corners each team and 10+ booking points each team – 5/6 Skybet (3 points)

2-2 correct score – 14/1 Bet365 (1 point)

Author: Eva Gray